The price of an option, , doesn't just depend on one thing. It depends on at least two: the stock price, , and the time, . So, our function is . We need to upgrade our tool to handle functions of multiple variables.
Lesson 1.7: The Taylor Expansion (Multiple Variables)
Welcome! In Lesson 1.6, we built an amazing prediction tool (the Taylor Expansion) for a function with one variable, f(x). But in finance, our problems are more complex.
The 'Why': The Mountain Map Problem
Imagine you are standing on the side of a mountain. Your position (x, y) (e.g., latitude and longitude) determines your altitude, .
You are at an "anchor point" (a, b). You know:
- Your current altitude:
- Your slope in the North/South direction:
- Your slope in the East/West direction:
The Problem: Can you use only the information at your "anchor point" to build a "simple map" (a flat plane) that predicts your altitude at a new point (x, y) nearby?
The Answer: Yes! This is the 1st-Order Taylor Expansion for two variables.
Building Our 'Map' Step-by-Step
Step 1: The 'Good' Guess (1st-Order: The Tangent Plane)
In the single-variable case, our "map" was a tangent line. In the two-variable case, our "map" is a tangent plane. The logic is the same: (New Value) ≈ (Old Value) + (Change from moving in the x-direction) + (Change from moving in the y-direction).
Goal: Predict using our anchor point .
This is a great approximation, but it's flat. Our "mountain" (our option price function) is curved. We need to account for that.
Step 2: The 'Great' Guess (2nd-Order: The Parabolic Bowl)
This is the master tool we need for Itô's Lemma. We add curvature terms: "Pure x" curvature (), "Pure y" curvature (), and "Mixed" curvature ().
This looks terrifying, but it's just: Prediction ≈ (Old Value) + (Slope Terms) + (Curvature Terms).
The Most Important Formula (The 'Change' Formula)
For our class, we need to adapt this formula for our Option Price, . We rename our variables:
- Function becomes (Option Price).
- Variable "x" becomes (Time).
- Variable "y" becomes (Stock Price).
- Step becomes .
- Step becomes .
We want the "change in V," or . We just move the term to the left and substitute our new names. This gives us the MASTER TOOL for Itô's Lemma:
Master Tool for Itô's Lemma
- This big, scary formula is our new "prediction tool."
- In the next lesson, we'll see why in normal calculus, all those 2nd-order "curvature" terms are just zero because and are so tiny.
- But in Module 3 (Itô's Lemma), we will discover that the term does not go to zero... and the single, surviving piece of this equation will give us the famous "Itô correction term."