The price of an option, , doesn't just depend on one thing. It depends on at least two: the stock price, , and the time, . So, our function is . We need to upgrade our tool to handle functions of multiple variables.
Lesson 1.7: The Taylor Expansion (Multiple Variables)
Welcome! In Lesson 1.6, we built an amazing prediction tool (the Taylor Expansion) for a function with one variable, f(x). But in finance, our problems are more complex.
The 'Why': The Mountain Map Problem
Imagine you are standing on the side of a mountain. Your position (x, y) (e.g., latitude and longitude) determines your altitude, .
You are at an "anchor point" (a, b). You know:
- Your current altitude:
- Your slope in the North/South direction:
- Your slope in the East/West direction:
The Problem: Can you use only the information at your "anchor point" to build a "simple map" (a flat plane) that predicts your altitude at a new point (x, y) nearby?
The Answer: Yes! This is the 1st-Order Taylor Expansion for two variables.
Building Our 'Map' Step-by-Step
Step 1: The 'Good' Guess (1st-Order: The Tangent Plane)
In the single-variable case, our "map" was a tangent line. In the two-variable case, our "map" is a tangent plane. The logic is the same: (New Value) ≈ (Old Value) + (Change from moving in the x-direction) + (Change from moving in the y-direction).
Goal: Predict using our anchor point .
This is a great approximation, but it's flat. Our "mountain" (our option price function) is curved. We need to account for that.
Step 2: The 'Great' Guess (2nd-Order: The Parabolic Bowl)
This is the master tool we need for Itô's Lemma. We add curvature terms: "Pure x" curvature (), "Pure y" curvature (), and "Mixed" curvature ().
This looks terrifying, but it's just: Prediction ≈ (Old Value) + (Slope Terms) + (Curvature Terms).
The Most Important Formula (The 'Change' Formula)
For our class, we need to adapt this formula for our Option Price, . We rename our variables:
- Function becomes (Option Price).
- Variable "x" becomes (Time).
- Variable "y" becomes (Stock Price).
- Step becomes .
- Step becomes .
We want the "change in V," or . We just move the term to the left and substitute our new names. This gives us the MASTER TOOL for Itô's Lemma:
Master Tool for Itô's Lemma
- This big, scary formula is our new "prediction tool."
- In Lesson 1.8, we'll see that in normal calculus, all those 2nd-order "curvature" terms are just zero because and are so tiny.
- But in Module 3 (Itô's Lemma), we will plug our SDE into this formula. We will discover that the term does not go to zero... and the single, surviving piece of this equation will give us the famous "Itô correction term."
Up Next: The Rules of "Normal" Infinitesimals